Jude's Real Estate Rumblings

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Record Job Losses

From The Mortgage Market Guide, a record was broken on the job front last Friday as the Labor Department reported a much worse than expected loss of 80,000 jobs in March - the greatest jobs loss reported in five years. In addition, revisions to both January and February's Jobs Report delivered an additional loss of 67,000 jobs - that's on top of the previously reported loss of 85,000 jobs for that two-month period.

And...the story might be even a bit gloomier than it already appears. The Labor Department uses a lot of averaging to help it come up with its numbers more quickly, but this practice can skew the current picture significantly. Think of it this way - and because it's now baseball season, here's a Baseball analogy - let's say that mid-way through the season, a red-hot hitter with a batting average of 340 declines into a bad slump for several weeks. While he now can't even hit a basketball thrown underhand to him, his average - while lower to 300 - is still very strong due to his previous hot performance. So someone looking at just the statistics may think that this batter is still absolutely terrific, but he is really someone the fans are booing as he approaches the plate. This is not very different from current numbers being reported by the Labor Department - previous averaging is likely causing an understating of the ACTUAL number of job losses...which somewhat masks how b ad the job market really is.

This bleak Jobs Report greatly boosts the odds of not only a first-quarter recession, but perhaps a worse economic downturn than many economists fear. The Federal Reserve may respond to this increasing trend in job losses with additional interest rate cuts when they next meet to determine monetary policy on April 30 and June 25. As we've seen in the past though, such rate cuts do not translate into lower long-term rates for mortgages, so there is no better time than right now to refinance an existing mortgage or to structure a new one. Let's work together to make sure your current financing is a home run!

Development plans detailed for light rail areas in Aurora

From the Aurora Sentinel,

AURORA | The city's new stretch of light rail may be surrounded by high-rise apartments, pedestrian-friendly plazas and other mixed use developments, according to planning officials.

At an initial public workshop session April 3 held at North Middle School, representatives from Aurora's planning department paired with lead designers from an Oregon-based urban design firm to present preliminary station area plans for a future RTD line.  Read on... http://www.aurorasentinel.com/main.asp?SectionID=8&SubSectionID=8&ArticleID=18849

Thieves Gut Copper From Homes

The theft of copper and other metals has been so rampant in communities with a large number of homes left vacant as a result of foreclosures that real estate practitioners are painting "No Copper, Only PVC" on the outside of the homes, in the hopes that criminals will stay away.

"I had a property under agreement. We negotiated. The offer was accepted. The buyer came back to the property three weeks later only to find [thieves] had gotten in and stolen the copper, so we had to go back to the bank and renegotiate," says Marc Charney, president of CharneyRealEstate.com in Brockton, Mass.

After haggling, the bank cut $5,000 off the $105,000 price.

Lenders are increasingly unwilling to lend if there is any hint that the property has been stripped of pipes and copper wiring for fear the surprised buyers will default, leaving the bank holding the property. It may then likely be considered only worthy of a tear-down.

At least 15 U.S. states - from California to New York - drafted legislation in the past year to deal with the problem, passing everything from tighter regulations on scrap metals traders to tougher penalties for metal theft.

Scrap metal traders say that nearly all of the stolen metal is shipped to China and India.

Source: Reuters News, Jason Szep (03/31/2008)

April Marks 40 Years of Fair Housing

April Marks 40 Years of Fair Housing, an article from Realtor.org, reports that REALTORS® continue to be outspoken advocates for fair housing, working with home buyers and sellers to ensure they receive equal access to affordable housing and homeownership, as America celebrates the 40th anniversary of the Fair Housing Act this month.  NAR President Dick Gaylord said, "NAR and its 1.3 million members pledge to continue our work educating home buyers and homeowners in our communities about fair housing laws, discrimination, and predatory lending practices, making the dream of homeownership viable for all Americans."  In order for Americans to access affordable financing in all areas of the country, NAR is working with Congress to make permanent the new FHA conforming loan limits, mandated by the economic stimulus package.
http://www.realtor.org/rmodaily.nsf/pages/News2008040103

Mortgage Tip

We're all seeing more deals involving FHA loans, so here's a short review of the mortgage insurance (MI) guidelines for FHA.   There is an up-front mortgage insurance premium (referred to as up-front MIP) of 1.5% of the loan amount.  The up-front MIP goes to FHA and is used to help fund the FHA loan programs.  It can either be financed into the loan, the buyer can pay for it at closing, or the seller can pay for it at closing.   There is also a 0.5% annual MI premium, which is paid monthly and is included in the monthly mortgage payment.  The monthly amount is calculated by multiplying the loan amount by 0.5% and then dividing by 12.  It is the lowest MI premium of any loan program.   MI must be paid for 5 years on all FHA loans, regardless of the amount of equity a borrower has in the property.  After 5 years, the MI will go away once the borrower has 22% equity in the property.

Inspiration

I seldom pass along inspirational
stuff, but this one got to me .

I believe,
in these difficult and mean-spirited times in which we live, there needs to be a
message of hope.  

We can all
use a single image that speaks to us of love, harmony, peace, and joy.  
     
An image
that suggests the universality of us all.  I have been sent that image, and
I want to share it with you all.
   

All I ask that all of you take a
moment to reflect on it.  . .  http://www.utterz.com/~u-NTA2MDU5NA/utt.php#uttNTA2MDU5NA

Southshore wins “National Masterplanned Community of the Year” competition

Southshore, a waterside community in southeast Aurora, has been named the "National Masterplanned Community of the Year," by the National Sales & Marketing Council of the National Association of Homebuilders (NAHB). Developed by John Laing Homes and Village Homes, Southshore is the first Colorado community to win this coveted designation. Located near E-470 and Smoky Hill Road, Southshore hosted last year's Parade of Homes. "Aurora's proud to have Southshore, the National Masterplanned Community of the Year, in our great city," said Aurora Mayor Ed Tauer. "Southshore's not just great houses. It's the 21st century model for bringing people, open space, entertainment and great shopping together in a vibrant package." Susan Peterson, general manager of Laing/Village, LLC, the developer of Southshore, was thrilled the community received such high honors. "We're all still on Cloud Nine. We especially appreciate the city of Aurora's partnership and support in our development. I think if you talk with any of our residents, you'll appreciate why they love living at Southshore, " Peterson said.

Z57 to Give Away 1 Million Listing Websites to Real Estate Agents

As reported by RISMEDIA, Z57, Inc., a 10-year veteran in real estate Web marketing services, announced they are offering support to the real estate community by giving away 1 million complimentary AETMShowcase single property websites to agents nationwide. Agents and brokers can sign up for their complimentary website at http://www.z57.com/free through April 30, 2008. This initiative is the first in Z57's year-long campaign to help real estate professionals reach their customers more effectively in today's market. http://rismedia.com/wp/2008-04-02/z57-to-give-away-1-million-listing-websites-to-real-estate-agents/

Real estate investment trusts like to call Denver home

An article from the ColoradoBiz Magazine states that the Denver metro area is the "real estate investement trust capital of the world" with the largest industrial reit and the number one owner of U.S. apartments headquartered here.  A real estate investment trust is a tax treatment that requires the trust to distribute 90 percent of earned income as a dividend. In return, it is not subject to federal income tax. REITs (pronounced "reets") in different categories buy, manage and sell various kinds of real estate - apartments, warehouses, hospitals, office, retail, resorts, mixed and others.
Read the full article here: http://www.cobizmag.com/articles.asp?id=2050

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