http://online.wsj.com/article/SB121700559432885153.html?mod=RealEstateMain_1
Cashing In on Real Estate, It's Still Possible
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB121700559432885153.html?mod=RealEstateMain_1
City back in the zone
http://www.bizjournals.com/denver/stories/2008/07/28/story1.html?b=1217217600^1673815
Daily Rate Lock Advisory
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Monday's bond market has opened in positive territory following early stock weakness. The stock markets are showing losses with the Dow down 68 points and the Nasdaq down 7 points. The bond market is currently up 16/32, which should improve this morning's mortgage rates by approximately .125 of a discount point.
There is no relevant news scheduled for release today, but there are several important reports due this week that are likely to affect mortgage pricing. The first piece of news comes late tomorrow morning when the Conference Board posts their Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) for July. This index measures consumer sentiment, giving us an idea of consumer willingness to spend. This is important because consumer spending makes up two-thirds of the U.S. economy. If the CCI reading is weaker than expected, we may see bond prices rise and mortgage rates drop tomorrow. Current forecasts are calling for a reading of 50.0, which would be a lightly lower readin g than June's reading.
There is no relevant economic news scheduled for release Wednesday that is relevant to mortgage rates. However, there are two on the schedule for Thursday. The first is the quarterly Gross Domestic Product (GDP), which is considered to be the best indicator of economic growth. It is the sum of all goods and services produced in the U.S. and usually has a great deal of influence on the financial markets. Current forecasts are estimating a 1.8% pace. A larger increase will probably hurt bond prices, leading to higher mortgage rates. But a smaller increase would likely fuel a bond market rally.
The second report of the day is the 2nd Quarter Employment Cost Index (ECI) that measures employers' costs for wages and benefits. It is considered to be an important measurement of wage inflation and can have a pretty big impact on the bond market and mortgage rates. If it shows a rapid increase, raising inflation concerns, the bond market may drop and mortgage rates rise. It is expected to reveal an increase of 0.7%.
Overall, it likely will be a fairly active week in the mortgage market. With several important economic reports on tap, we will likely see noticeable movement in mortgage rates more than one day. The most important day of the week is Friday with the Employment and ISM reports being released, but Thursday's GDP release is highly important to the markets and could heavily influence mortgage pricing also.
If I were considering financing/refinancing a home, I would.... Float if my closing was taking place within 7 days... Float if my closing was taking place between 8 and 20 days... Float if my closing was taking place between 21 and 60 days... Float if my closing was taking place over 60 days from now... This is only my opinion of what I would do if I were financing a home. It is only an opinion and cannot be guaranteed to be in the best interest of all/any other borrowers.
Daily Rate Lock Advisory
Realtors Push Back Against Negative News Spin
http://realtytimes.com/rtpages/20080723_pushback.htm
Daily Rate Lock Advisory
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Wednesday's bond market has opened in negative territory since there is no relevant economic data to offset early stock gains. The stock markets are in positive territory with the Dow up 24 points and the Nasdaq up 18 points. The bond market is currently down 13/32, which will likely push this morning's mortgage rates higher by approximately .250 of a discount point.
There is no relevant economic data scheduled for release this morning, however, the Federal Reserve will release its Beige Book report this afternoon. This report is named simply after the color of its cover, but it is considered to be important to the Fed when determining monetary policy during their FOMC meetings. It details economic activity and conditions by region throughout the U.S. With Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke's testimony last week, I don't think we will see any significant surprises in this report, and therefore will likely not cause much movement in mortgage rates later today.
There are two housing sector related releases scheduled for this week with the first coming tomorrow morning. Neither will likely have much of an impact on the bond market or mortgage rates. June's Existing Home Sales will be posted tomorrow morning and is expected to show a decline in sales.
We also have a 5-year Treasury Note auction Thursday that may influence bond trading but will also give us an indication of investor appetite for bonds. If it is met with a strong demand from investors, bond prices may rise during afternoon trading. However, if the sale was met with a poor demand, we could see bond prices fall and mortgage rates rise late tomorrow.
If I were considering financing/refinancing a home, I would.... Lock if my closing was taking place within 7 days... Lock if my closing was taking place between 8 and 20 days... Lock if my closing was taking place between 21 and 60 days... Float if my closing was taking place over 60 days from no w... This is only my opinion of what I would do if I were financing a home. It is only an opinion and cannot be guaranteed to be in the best interest of all/any other borrowers.
©Mortgage Commentary 2008 
www.judesandvall.comwww.judesandvallloans.com
Daily Rate Lock Advisory
Tuesday's bond market has opened in negative territory as investors remain concerned about inflation sensitive securities. The stock markets are mixed with the Dow up 34 points and the Nasdaq down 4 points. The bond market is currently down 13/32, but due to strength in bonds late yesterday we will likely see little change in this morning's mortgage rates. There is no relevant economic data scheduled for release today or tomorrow morning. This will leave the bond market and mortgage rates to be influenced by stock and oil prices. This could further pressure bonds in my opinion, so please proceed cautiously if still floating an interest rate. I would not be surprised to see an upward revision to mortgage pricing later today if bonds remain near current levels. The Federal Reserve will release its Beige Book report tomorrow afternoon. This report is named simply after the color of its cover, but it is considered to be important to the Fed when de termining monetary policy during their FOMC meetings. It details economic activity and conditions by region throughout the U.S. With Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke's testimony last week, I don't think we will see any significant surprises in this report, and therefore will likely not cause much movement in mortgage rates tomorrow afternoon. There are two housing sector related releases scheduled for Thursday and Friday, but I don't think they will have much of an impact on the bond market or mortgage rates. June's Existing Home Sales will be posted Thursday while New Home Sales will be released Friday. I would expect that other reports or factors will drive bond trading and mortgage pricing much more than these will. We also have a 5-year Treasury Note auction Thursday that may influence bond trading but will also give us an indication of investor appetite for bonds. Generally speaking, despite the lack of a data-packed calendar, I would still maintain con stant contact with your mortgage professional. If I were considering financing/refinancing a home, I would.... Lock if my closing was taking place within 7 days... Lock if my closing was taking place between 8 and 20 days... Lock if my closing was taking place between 21 and 60 days... Float if my closing was taking place over 60 days from now... This is only my opinion of what I would do if I were financing a home. It is only an opinion and cannot be guaranteed to be in the best interest of all/any other borrowers. ©Mortgage Commentary 2008 ![]() |
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Investors With Cash Are Kings in Today's Market
Daily Real Estate News | July 18, 2008
Some are calling this the best market for investors since real estate tanked in the early 1980s.
Investors, alone and in groups, are negotiating volume deals as they purchase whole subdivisions and bundles of 10 to 50 defaulted loans for pennies on the dollar.
"What we're seeing today dwarfs [the 1980s] by five or 10 times," says Bob Leonetti, president of SMI Funding, an Austin, Texas, company that originates and acquires private and conventional mortgages. "There are huge opportunities for investors."
"People who have cash positions now are going to do very well," says Central Florida real estate practitioner Mike Norvell of Developers Capital Realty in Leesburg, Fla. "It's just crazy the prices you can buy for right now for cash."
Source: Investor’s Business Daily, Kathleen Doler (07/07/08)
Gates project goes slower
Developer splits; first buildings delayed to 2011
By John Rebchook, Rocky Mountain News
Thanks to the sluggish economy, you won't be seeing any new buildings at the $1 billion Gates Rubber redevelopment until 2011, a year later than planned.
In February, the Rocky Mountain News reported that the developer, an entity created by Chicago-based Joseph Freed, had split from the 50-acre project, which is owned and being cleaned up for contaminants by Cherokee Denver.
At that time, Cherokee President Ferd Belz said he was open to having the Joseph Freed group, called Santa Fe Denver 125 LLC, possibly play a smaller role at the Gates site, called Metropolitan Gardens.
But no more. "We have pretty much agreed to go our separate ways," Belz said.
Since the two groups have split, architects and general contractors are still owed $2.2 million, according to court records examined Monday. According to mechanic lien filings in U.S. District Court, among the prominent groups that have not been paid are PCL Construction and 4240 Architecture, headed by Denver architect Peter Dominick.
Mechanic liens are similar to involuntary mortgages slapped on property for unpaid bills. The liens may be foreclosed on to pay the amount owed.
4240 is owed $529,343 and PCL $299,650, according to documents. In addition, Design Workshop is owed $174,015, according to court documents.
Court documents say that Santa Fe Denver 125 contracted for more than $6 million in work, and has paid more than $4 million to subcontractors. It says Cherokee is responsible for half of the roughly $6.2 million. Cherokee's attorneys responded that is has "no duty" to Santa Fe Denver and said its claims are "frivolous, groundless and lack substantial justification."
The only announced retail tenant for the Gates project so far is Robert Redford's Sundance Cinema, and even that is in doubt.
"Technically, that LOI (letter of intent) was with Freed, and Freed is no longer here, so technically we no longer have a contract with Sundance," said Belz on Monday.
But he said he met recently with Sundance officials at the International Council of Shopping Centers in Las Vegas and he said Sundance is still open to coming to Metropolitan Gardens.
"They said they still like the site and to contact them when we're ready," Belz said.
Initially, Freed "was shooting" to have the first development open by the fall of 2010. Now it is likely to be the spring of 2011 before anything is built, Belz said. "We're looking at the next phase to be smaller, tighter and more office and less residential than Freed was planning."
Several retailers he met at ICSC said that in today's economic environment, they would not be ready to move forward until 2011, Belz said.
Former developer Freed planned a lot of residential, including condominiums, Belz said. Separately, Belz sold five acres to Trammell Crow Residential, which is building a luxury apartment complex on the south side of the property.
"Some people say we no longer even have a condo market," Belz said. "Two years ago, people wanted big projects. But now, there is no capital available to fund big, massive projects."
Belz said that while the starts of the building has "slipped a little," the project is not at a standstill. Cherokee still needs to clean pollution on the east side and has yet to start what could be a long process with the city of Denver on demolition of buildings.
"We don't even know yet if we're going to demolish all of the buildings," Belz said. "We would like to try to save the facades of some of them."
And Belz noted that the redevelopment of Gates has always been envisioned as a 10-year-plus project. Delays and setbacks are to be expected during various real estate and economic cycles.
"Because we're a little bit behind now doesn't mean that the whole thing won't be completed around the 10-year time frame," Belz said.
rebchookj@RockyMountainNews.com or 303-954-5207
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